News on Youtube Oct 25 2017

It's no secret that carnivals exist to make money

And to do this most effectively, they do a bunch of things

to make you overestimate your chances of winning

in some case to such an extent

that it's basically a scam. So I spent a couple days coming down

to this carnival and observing and collecting data

on all the games. So I'm now I'm going to tell

you exactly which games are the biggest ripoffs and the scientific reasons why.

I even nancy drewed how much they actually pay

for the prizes you can win. But there is hope…because I'll also

show you some legitimate tricks on how to the most popular

games and along

with what happens when you show up to the carnival with your professional baseball playing buddy

who happens to play for the Mets.

Let's get started!

Any kind of legitimate investigation needs to start with solid data

as the foundation. So with the promise of unlimited churros, I

I had some friends secretly help me collect data on all 24

games at the Carnival for a full day. Not only did we collect

how how many times each game was played but we recorded how many

times people actually won each game and what prize they won.

And so the first observation was that based on our data

is tht this relatively small park

this place makes $20k/day just on their carnival

So to help frame the rest of the observations,

let's divide the games into 3 groups. 1st,

You've got your Random chance games-

Games like these that don't utilize any skills and are basically

rolling a dice. 2nd you've got your Skill based games

Like basketball shot or the milk bottle throw or the basket toss

game where if you bring some kind of skill or strategy to the table

you can increases your chances of winning And the final category are

the games that are pretty much Impossible- These ones are borderline

scams. There are 3 games that

lots of people attempted and nobody won, and if they did win

once like in the case of the ladder climb it was for a very specific reason,

which I'll talk about later.

So let's start by talking about the random chance games. Calculating

your chances of winning chances here is pretty straightforward. You just divide

winning outcomes by the total outcomes

and you'll get a percentage. So in this case there are about about 1600

total cups and 160 winning cups.

That's about 10% chance or 1 in 10 throws

will win. There are a ton of games similar to

this. But catch is they always use balls that are light weight and have a high

coefficient of restitution meaning they bounce really well.

The makes it much less likely the ball will end

where you originally aim it.

To illustrate this point, think how much easier this game would be with

bean bags which are heavier with and don't bounce.

Any imperfection

in your throw is magnified, which essentially

randomizes things. If you have no skills these

are the games you want to play. But don't' get too excited

because even when you win you lose.

I did some investigative work and uncovered the sources they order

their prizes from and discovered even If you got lucky

on your first throw that would cost you $1.50

for a prize that that cost them 45 cents.

But you usually won't get it on your first try

and treating this as expected value problem it would

take you average

(7/30) 5 tries to land in a yellow cup for a small prize which means you pay $7.50

for something that costs 45 cents.

In the case of the big prize by landing in the rare

gold cup it's worse and would take an average of

25 tries, which works out to $38

for a prize that costs them $6.

The number of people we observed winning matched up well with these

statistical predictions.Now let's talk about the

skill based games. One of the most popular

the basketball toss with 825

the day we obseved. A standard 3 pointer is

about 24 feet back on a 10 foot rim.

In this case however, the line is 28ft back on a rim

11 feet high. Which is subtle but if

you have a deadly 3 pointer locked

into your muscle memory you will tend to miss short which is

exactly what happened a bunch. The reason they always have all big sloped tarp in front

is so that someone can't stand underneath the rim where they height difference

would be much more apparent.

Here again though even if you go Steph Curry

and sink your first $3 shot, you still lose 2.20 cents

because this ball costs them 80 cents Here is another example of getting

you to overestimate your chances of winning by making subtle changes by slanting the table

which will reduce the horizontal velocity after

the bounce so even if you played this game all through college

your previous experience almost becomes a handicap.

This measure your pitch speed game is borderline fraudulent

as their Radar gun registers about 15mph slow.

I know this because I measured the distance and then filmed in high speed

and counted the frames and this pitch was much closer to 84 mph.

For the milk bottle game the only catch here is that the bottles are metal

which makes them more stable and harder to knock down than a normal bottle that size.

I've seen some carnivals where they are bottom weighted

which would make them even more stable and thus less likely to tip.

You can ask to hold it use the trick

of balance it on your finger to determine where the center of mass is.

They key to this game is hitting them right here

with a hard enough throw to introduce sufficient kinetic energy

but don't throw it too hard because we noticed those who threw their hardest

usually compromised on accuracy.

About 1 in 14 of people knocked them over on their first try.

And then finally the basket toss game. The key here is to

have your first bounce hit on the front lip to reduce the kinetic energy

enough so it doesn't rebound out.

About 1 in 10 people win this game according to our observations.

And now this brings us to our final category of the near impossible

games and there are three of them. On this first one, the goal

is to shoot out the red star with this automatic

bb gun. So the best strategy is to basically shoot

a circle around the start to cut it out. Not only

are the guns not accurate or precise but the bigger issue is

that you start out doing really well because there is enough surrounding paper

so the bb will rip through the paper. But Newton's

3rd law tells us you can only push on something as hard

as it can resist your push and so at the end there will be barely

supported pieces of the star that just move out of the way

off the bb without building up enough stress

to rip the paper. Out of 120 plays we saw

no one win this one all day This ring bottle game

is also impossibly difficult. Again, it's a lightweight object

that is really bouncy to encourage randomness

but the actual inner diameter of the ring is really close

to the outer diameter of the bottle. This means any throw

besides this perfect one, will

send it bouncing away instead of settling in on the bottle.

If you really want this bear I suggest going to Amazon and getting it for $47.

I literally can't even tell you how much money that wills save you because of the 840

rings we saw thrown, none stayed on. Which brings

up a obvious rule of thumb, if you want

to have the feeling of winning a game, don't play any game that offers

really big prizes. And for the final near impossible

game let me reiterate that for a carnival owner the most lucrative

games are those which the customer over

estimates their chances of success. No game is a better example

of this than the ladder climb. There is a subtle issue

with this game that I think people realize, but don't internalize the significance.

The ladder converges to be supported on the wall by one point

instead of two. If it was attached in two points it's like

crawling across a bridge

which is really easy. Let's pretend this is

you and If you shrunk all the weight of your body

down to the average location which we call the center of mass,

which we'll mark

with this dot. Again, you know this is the spot

because it balances perfectly. If you draw

two imaginary lines connecting the diffrent support points

and as long as your center of mass dot is

it is impossible to fall off.

But As soon as you center of mass is even a little bit out of the area

of supports you start to rotate and fall off.

If you've ever bent over to pick something up

you actually know this fact whether you realize it or not.

In this case the region of support is between the heel

and the toes of your foot. When you reach over you will

naturally move your butt back to keep your center of mass

in between your support points. If you don't believe me

try picking something up standing against a wall

so you can move your butt back, at the very moment your center of mass

moves beyond your toes,

you tip over. In the case of the ladder game even though it looks wide because of the ladder rungs, it's only attached

at one point but

even though it looks wide because of the ladder rungs

that area of support reduces down to a line. So

So if you don't keep your center of mass directly above that line

you will start to rotate and fall off. In other words, to win this game

you basically need to crawl across a tightrope.

And you might think we'll I can do a slack line so I can do

this but a slack line is actually much easier for 2 reasons

You can flail your arms and legs out to adjust

your center of mass to keep it above the line

of support and your center of mass is higher

up which makes you more stable

In the same way it's easier to balance this umbrella when it's extended vs. when collapsed.

So while there are a few videos that say tricks like maintain three points

of contact at all times, they're basically useless because

keeping your center of mass directly above a line

is just something you need get a feel for that

takes a lot of practice. But once you've had enough practice you this is the one game at the

carnival that is all skill. So you can win everytime

and clean them out. Unfortunately, the carnival owner knows this which is why it's

the only game with this super lame caveat.

So now that we were carnival experts, I called up my buddy Matt Winaker

who played baseball for Stanford and was just recently drafted to play for the New York Mets

So we could maximize the chance of winning any game relating to throwing

So clearly Matt had deadly lock on any throwing game

But basketball is more my game so to finish off

the day I decided to bring his ego back into check

As it turns out, if you are a world class athlete in one sport

you are a really, really good athlete in all sports.

So in conclusion, you should play the games if you think they're fun

just know that the odds are heavily stacked against so if you

don't win it's nbd unlike this dude who lost his

life savings playing carnival games. And if

your motivation is to gain the love and admiration of someone

special by means of a stuffed animal you don't need a

carnival to do that. Amazon works just as well.

"A little purchse for you ma lady"

Why?

I like to learn new stuff. I recently got a new camera but

user manuals are lame. So I went online to skillshare.com

who were also kind enough to support this video and followed along with

my camera as an expert axplained via video

all the different buttons and functions and

It was super useful and way better than trying to read a black and white manual.

They have a bunch of different courses ranging from photography to graphic design to marketing

to even making videos like this.

It's less than $10/month and that gives you full access

to all of their courses. AND the First 300 people to

use the link in the video desc. get their first 2 months free to try it out.

So if you appreciate the work I put into these videos don't give me

money, click the link in the desc. and go expand your

mind and learn something new. Thanks for watching.

For more infomation >> CARNIVAL SCAM SCIENCE- and how to win - Duration: 11:37.

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How I Get Over $500,000 Worth of FREE Traffic Each Month to My Website - Duration: 4:29.

For more infomation >> How I Get Over $500,000 Worth of FREE Traffic Each Month to My Website - Duration: 4:29.

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Ainsley, Environmental Specialist Part 1 - What I do and how much I make - Duration: 8:30.

My name is Ainsley Smith.

I'm 30, I'm an environmental specialist

and I make about $59,000 a year.

As an environmental specialist, I'm a government contractor,

so I'm not a government employee.

I work through my contractor with NOAA which is

the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

in the Protected Resources division.

Within NOAA, Protected Resources oversees any animal

that's on the endangered species list or protected

under the Marine Mammal Protection Act.

So we work with sea turtles, whales, salmon,

sturgeon, and basically want to ensure the health

and survival of these species and different regulations

that protect them from diseases, from incidental take

in marine debris or fisheries or from projects

that are going on in the ocean.

So right now, I work with two different teams

within Protected Resources.

The section seven team primarily deals with consultations

with other federal agencies.

So working with them, I would correspond with

federal agencies about their project plans.

I also work on some smaller projects like

updating our website so we are conveying

the best available science to the public

and to those agencies we work with.

I do some projects on efficiency

and administrative procedures and I also review

our endangered species observers which are people

that are out on federal projects working say

with the army or on a fishery research project.

And they are the ones who are reviewing

what's going on on the water.

More recently, I become part of of the marine mammal

and sea turtle team which handles stranding

and disentanglement from Maine to Virginia.

My role on that team is right now a supportive role

so I will answer the on-call phone if someone

needs to report a stranded animal in our area.

I help with database entry and administration,

filing pictures and reports as they come in,

dispatching calls.

If we receive a call, we need to make sure the appropriate

network responders are working on that,

so we'll relay back and forth.

We share information with the Coast Guard,

with local harbormasters, marine patrol.

I'm still new to the team but I'm being trained

in our stranding and disentanglement protocols.

So eventually if there was a situation in our response area

which is about the north shore of Massachusetts,

I would be able to assist our team and our other

trained responders and be able to assist with

a stranded marine mammal like a dolphin or a seal

or eventually the disentanglement of an animal

like a sea turtle or a whale who's been

caught up in marine debris or fishing gear

and able to safely work with our other teams

to free that animal and hopefully get it

back out into the ocean.

An additional part of my job on

the marine mammal and sea turtle team

is transporting animals.

In the fall and the winter, we see a lot of stranded

sea turtles on Cape Cod and we have volunteers

who have been trained to take those animals

to New England Aquarium for rehabilitation.

But once they're there, they need to be

transferred sometimes down south or to other facilities

for long-term care before they are

released back to the ocean.

So we coordinate with facilities like aquariums

or animal rehab centers and then we help

to transport the animals either in our van or taking them

to the airport and working with a private pilot

to donate their time and bringing those animals

to other facilities where they can be cared for

and then released back into the ocean.

The animals we see are very seasonally dependent up here.

In the summer, whales and sea turtles will be

up in this area feeding and making their way up to Canada.

And in the fall, we see them going back down south.

So our busiest time is actually fall into winter

when sea turtles are coming from the Gulf of Maine

and they're trying to get back down south,

they tend to get stuck in the hook of Cape Code

and they don't know how to go around it

so they tend to wash up on the beaches on Cape Cod.

So our busiest season is working with our trained volunteers

to pick those animals up and bring them up

to the aquarium for care and coordinating the care

and transport sometimes hundreds of sea turtles in

between Thanksgiving and Christmas which is

everybody's favorite time to take off and do family events,

but also when we've got the most sea turtles.

Another part of my job is to do some education outreach.

So we have education specialists who do that full-time

but we also take other staff and we do events like

Endangered Species Day at the zoo where we take

some big blowup sea turtles and a blowup whale with us

and we educate the general public about

what NOAA does up here.

A lot of people think that NOAA is just the weather

or just fisheries management, but a lot of people

don't know they're so much more.

Starting kids young is just a great opportunity to get them

aware of different issues like marine debris that affect

our marine animals and also what to do so they are safe

and helpful if they see an animal that needs help.

So probably the biggest challenge coming from

field work positions was readjusting to sitting at a desk

and being in an office again.

It's not always the most glamorous, we do a lot of

paperwork and a lot of database management,

and keeping files organized on our computers.

And it's hard to compare that to oh it's a beautiful day

and I'd rather be out on a boat

or out doing field work and observations.

But it's a trade off and we do have great days

and you have to remember that it's a little

balance of everything at this point.

So I make about $59,000 a year right now.

And going into marine biology and coastal management,

I wasn't particularly focused on

what the salary would be like.

I just knew that it was in my heart,

it was what I had to do and I just had to do it

and I would figure out a way to make things work.

And if they didn't work, I'd keep figuring it out. (laughs)

In marine biology and biology in general,

there's a pretty wide range depending on

who or what you work for.

So working for a nonprofit,

you could make significantly less.

I've worked in nonprofits where I've made

10 or $12 an hour doing field work which is a lot of fun

but it doesn't always pay the bills.

Biologists that work for consulting companies

might make significantly more than I do,

but my salary is pretty comparable to

the government employees who are about on my range.

When I was offered the position to be a contractor for NOAA,

they originally offered me about $47,000 a year

and I had a great grad school advisor who always said,

"Always ask for more, always try to negotiate."

And so I did and it got me up to about 57 or so

and since then, I did receive one more raise last year.

Being a contractor, you're salary is pretty much set

for one to two years at a time so there isn't

an opportunity really to do performance-based races

throughout the year.

So you have to renegotiate when your contract

is resigned each year, so it's something to keep in mind

and be sure you ask on time.

Having a basic background in biology is a great start,

but I learned so much more about different species

that I hadn't worked with before when I got here.

So I didn't know anything about salmon or sturgeon

and those are two very important species in our area,

but I was able to learn on the job once I was here.

Writing and communication are big keys both in

section seven and communicating with federal agencies,

and on the marine mammal and sea turtle team,

communicating with the public, the Coast Guard,

people who might be very frantic or panicked

about what they're seeing, and knowing how to ask

the right questions to get the right information out of them

so we can make the appropriate response in a timely manner.

Being calm under pressure when you're working on boat

with people in close proximate, you need to be safe

with what you're doing with the people around you.

And also when you're working with an animal,

your safety is utmost importance too.

A lot of what we do is driven by our compassion for

marine animals, we tend to see them

not always in their best.

It can be very emotional when you see an animal that is hurt

or entangled or has died and a lot of times

it can be human cause.

So from our marine debris for our fishing gear

that has caused an injury to an animal,

it's very emotional and it's something that really

tugs at your heart and makes you wanna work harder

and make sure that we are doing what we can to prevent

or to mitigate these measures in the future.

For more infomation >> Ainsley, Environmental Specialist Part 1 - What I do and how much I make - Duration: 8:30.

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How to live longer - THIS supplement for under £5 protects from heart attacks and strokes - Duration: 3:09.

How to live longer - THIS supplement for under £5 protects from heart attacks and strokes 

Magnesium deficiency causes tiredness, muscle cramps, anxiety and depression. About 14 per cent of people aren't getting enough magnesium, according to the National Diet and Nutrition survey.

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"Low levels [of magnesium] can lead to insomnia, and impact adversely on energy levels," said Healthspan Head of Nutrition Rob Hobson. Other symptoms of magnesium deficiency include irritability, weakness and mental health problems.

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Eating more magnesium helps the body to regulate blood pressure. The risk of cardiovascular problems, including heart attacks and strokes, as 15 per cent lower in people with magnesium-rich diets, scientists found.

High levels of the mineral also helps to keep bones strong, and reduces the risk of fractures. Its muscle-relaxing properties will help patients to get a peaceful nights sleep, and will therefore help to reduce symptoms of depression and anxiety.

Magnesium helps more than 300 enzymes to work properly, and was vital for every metabolic reaction in the body, according to GP and medical nutritionist Dr Sarah Brewer.   But, magnesium is lacking in daily diets, according to scientists.

Some people struggle to absorb the mineral, including those suffering with gastrointestinal problems like Crohn's disease. Taking magnesium supplements will help to improve health, but eating more magnesium-rich foods will also work.

Good sources of magnesium include dark chocolate, seafood, leafy green vegetables, nuts, seeds and whole grains.