Chủ Nhật, 24 tháng 6, 2018

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Storm clouds gather over the Mall on June 20. (Robert Miller/The Washington Post) More than a foot of rain has fallen since mid-May in Washington, and we're going to keep adding to that total through the weekend

The rain won't fall all the time, but a front near the region will act as the focus for occasional showers and storms

Of the next several days, Friday will probably be the wettest one. The weekend shouldn't be a washout, and Sunday looks nicer than Saturday

Compared with some recent rainy weekends (last weekend, mercifully, we caught a break), this shouldn't be that bad

But the National Weather Service shows the potential for about an inch of rain through Sunday, with higher amounts to the west and southwest

And these amounts may be conservative. The National Weather Service rainfall forecast through Sunday night

(WeatherBell.com) Let's break down the rain chances through the weekend, starting with Friday

Friday Chance of rain: 70 percent Most likely timing: On and off much of the day, tapering in the evening Possible amounts: 0

5 to 1.0 inches, locally higher Possible hazards: Pockets of flooding Temperatures: 70 to 75

Rain showers and perhaps a little embedded thunder are likely as a warm front slowly lifts north through the region

The latest models suggest the heaviest rain may fall in the morning into the early afternoon and then diminish

It's difficult to say where the heaviest rain will fall, but localized amounts of 1 to 3 inches may occur, even as amounts average around 0

75 inches. Areas of flooding are possible. The NAM model forecast radar shows rain in the region Friday morning, which could be heavy in some spots

Saturday Chance of rain: 40 to 50 percent Most likely timing: Late afternoon and evening Possible amounts: Highly variable, depending on where storms hit Possible hazards: Lightning, damaging winds, hail Temperatures: 83 to 88

We're back into the warm, sticky air on Saturday as the warm front will have pushed through

The showers, from morning through early to midafternoon, should be mostly dry. Although, a brief pop-up shower can't be ruled out

Later in the day, a cold front pushing in from the west should trigger scattered thunderstorms, and a few may be intense

The National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center has placed our region in its marginal-risk zone for severe thunderstorms, and the environment could even support an isolated tornado somewhere

The National Weather Service forecast map shows a cold front approaching Saturday evening at 8 p

m. The highest chance for severe storms may focus east and southeast of the metro region

Sunday Chance of rain: 20 to 30 percent Most likely timing: Late afternoon and evening Possible amounts: Highly variable, depending on where storms hit Possible hazards: Lightning, damaging winds, hail Temperatures: 85 to 90 The cold front pushing through Saturday isn't going to cool things down much

In fact, with more sunshine on Sunday, it's probably going to be even warmer, and some spots could make a run at 90

A follow-on cold front approach could trigger a few widely scattered storms late in the day, but many areas may end up dry

The NAM model shows highs in the upper 80s on Sunday.

For more infomation >> Rain may soak Washington on Friday and then mess with another weekend - Duration: 4:50.

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Small Plane Nearly Crashes into Car In Washington State - Duration: 0:48.

For more infomation >> Small Plane Nearly Crashes into Car In Washington State - Duration: 0:48.

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How A Bank Acquisition Affects Washington County's Economy - Duration: 6:53.

For more infomation >> How A Bank Acquisition Affects Washington County's Economy - Duration: 6:53.

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DNA leads to arrest in a second Washington State cold case involving a murdered young girl - Duration: 2:14.

Gary Hartman, 66, was charged Friday with rape and murder in the death of 12-year-old Michella Welch in Tacoma, Wash

, 32 years ago.  (Q13 Fox/Tacoma Police Department) Cops in Tacoma, Wash., attempted for years to solve the murders of two young girls who were last seen riding bicycles 32 years ago

Now, within the past six weeks and with the aid of DNA evidence, they have announced separate arrests in connection with the two homicides, reports say

 Twelve-year-old Michella Walsh and 13-year-old Jennifer Bastian were vibrant girls when they killed in two neighborhood parks within a five-month span in 1986

They had also been raped.  On Friday, Gary Hartman, 66, of Lakewood, was charged with Michella's murder, Q13 Fox reported

He worked as a nurse specialist at a psychiatric hospital.  POLICE ARREST ILLINOIS MAN IN GIRL'S 1986 COLD CASE MURDER IN WASHINGTON STATE  In May, Robert Washburn, 60, of Eureka, Ill

, was charged with Jennfier's murder, according to reports.  Investigators tapped public genealogy databases to identify potential suspects in the two killings, according Tacoma police and The News Tribune in Tacoma

 Tacoma Police Chief Don Ramsdell said solving both cases in a short span of time was "extraordinary," according to the paper

 For years investigators believed the same person killed the two girls. DNA evidence ruled out a connection in 2016

 Tacoma police obtained Hartman's DNA recently when he used a napkin to wipe his mouth at a restaurant, Q13 reported

A detective who was tailing Hartman seized the napkin as evidence.  KING-TV spoke to Nichola Eby, Michella's sister, who was 9 in 1986

 "You think 32 years later, you should be OK, but it's not," Eby said. "It's still real all the time

"

For more infomation >> DNA leads to arrest in a second Washington State cold case involving a murdered young girl - Duration: 2:14.

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Fatal crash in Washington County, VA - Duration: 0:29.

For more infomation >> Fatal crash in Washington County, VA - Duration: 0:29.

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Washington, D.C.: the Psychopath Capital of America - Duration: 13:25.

 As Washington's shock over winning the Stanley Cup demonstrates, the nation's capital isn't used to being first in anything

As a city, it's not the oldest, nor the biggest, nor the richest, and its sports teams are notoriously snakebitten

But finally, the capital has a claim to No. 1—and unfortunately, it's not just in hockey

 Ryan Murphy, an economist at Southern Methodist University, recently published a working paper in which he ranked each of the states by the predominance of—there's no nice way to put it—psychopaths

The winner? Washington in a walk. In fact, the capital scored higher on Murphy's scale than the next two runners-up combined

 "I had previously written on politicians and psychopathy, but I had no expectation D

C. would stand out as much as it does," Murphy wrote in an email.  When Murphy matched up the "constellation of disinhibition, boldness and meanness" that marks psychopathy with a previously existing map of the states' predominant personality traits, he found that dense, coastal areas scored highest by far—with Washington dominant among them

"The District of Columbia is measured to be far more psychopathic than any individual state in the country," Murphy writes in the paper

The runner-up, Connecticut, registered only 1.89 on Murphy's scale, compared with the overwhelming 3

48 clocked by the District.  What's going on? There's one big structural reason: There tend to be more psychopathic personalities in denser areas, and the District of Columbia is denser than even the densest state, so it makes sense that it would top the list

But even when you correct the rankings for density, Murphy says, Washington still ranks first

 This, Murphy hypothesizes, is because psychopaths are attracted to the kinds of jobs Washington offers—jobs that reward raw ambition, a relentless single-mindedness and, let's admit it, the willingness to step over a few bodies along the way

"Psychopaths have an awfully grandiose way of thinking about themselves, and D.C

has numerous means of seeking and attaining power," he wrote in an email. The television critics who dismissed Netflix's "House of Cards" as cartoonish and unrealistic—surely nobody could be that villainous— may have a few apologies to make

"The presence of psychopaths in the District of Columbia is consistent with the conjecture … that psychopaths are likely to be effective in the political sphere," Murphy writes in the paper

 To psychologists, a "psychopath" isn't necessarily a Norman Bates or Patrick Bateman lurking with an ax in the shadows; it's a person with a particular collection of antisocial traits, including a powerful sense of spite and an inability to consider the welfare of others

Murphy realized it might be possible to plot them on a map of America when he came across a forthcoming paper from of psychologists at the University of Georgia and Purdue University that projects those antisocial traits onto the "Big Five" personality traits—openness to experience, conscientiousness, extraversion, agreeableness, and neuroticism—which had already been mapped geographically

By combining those studies, he could get a rough idea of which areas have the most psychopathic personalities

 Psychologists study psychopathy because when it combines with other undesirable personality traits in what they call the "dark triad," it can lead to dangerous and even criminal behavior

For Washingtonians who might now worry about walking out the front door every day, there's no more reason to fret than anywhere else in the country

Although D.C., like most major urban centers, struggles with a high crime rate, it's nowhere near the outlier in that department that it is in psychopathy

In their less dangerous form, the traits might combine in that person rudely elbowing past you on the Metro in the morning, or cutting the taxi line with a smirk, determined to get her way at your expense if necessary

 Not all Murphy's colleagues buy his analysis. As a working paper, it hasn't yet been through peer review

Josh Miller, a University of Georgia psychologist whose work Murphy used to map psychopathic traits onto the already-existing map of those across the country, points out that Murphy's measurement of "psychopathic" traits includes some positive ones, like low neuroticism and high extraversion

A city high in civic-minded Type A personalities might very well rate high on this scale without producing many harmful psychopaths

And people tend to rate as more "disagreeable" when they're younger—so highly millennial cities, like Washington, can get skewed results

 Still, Murphy notes that other work supports his broad conclusions. Washington is awfully rich in the kinds of jobs rated "disproportionately psychopathic" by the psychologist Kevin Dutton, author of The Wisdom of Psychopaths: What Saints, Spies, and Serial Killers Can Teach Us About Success

These include lawyers, journalists, civil servants, as well as CEOs and chefs. (What are the low-psychopathy jobs? Nurse, therapist, craftsperson, beautician/stylist, charity worker, teacher, artist, doctor, and accountant

)  Among psychologists, it's become accepted wisdom that psychopaths can be eerily effective in their given professions

Paul Babiak, a New York psychologist who specializes in business and management, developed, alongside the Canadian psychopathy pioneer Bob Hare, the B-Scan 360, a business tool intended to identify the psychopath in your workplace

According to some psychologists, there's a good chance it's the person in the corner office

"Their natural tendency is to be charming," Babiak told a BBC documentary crew in 2011

"Take that charm and couch it in the right business language, and it sounds like charismatic leadership

"  The top five habitats for such people, by Murphy's measure, are D.C., Connecticut, California, New Jersey, and New York and Wyoming tied for fifth

The five least psychopathic states are West Virginia, Vermont, Tennessee, North Carolina and New Mexico

("This is a rare ranking of states where West Virginia is rated as 'best,'" Murphy points out, "in the sense that psychopathy is generally viewed as a social bad

")  If that sounds like a pattern, it is: The psychopath/nonpsychopath binary matches up, with a few exceptions, with the urban/rural divide, although there's still disagreement among experts as to why

A psychopath map of the U.S. would also look quite a bit like the red-blue political map, with the red areas notably lower in psychopathy

(Though not universally: Vermont, a deep-blue state, is extremely low on the list, while red Wyoming is up in the top five

)  Murphy warns against drawing any partisan conclusions, given the diversity in both the data and the country's political makeup

"The literature supports the idea that psychopaths are attracted to cities, but I don't think there is strong theoretical support [that] 'Democratic voters are psychopaths

'"  Politicians as a class, however, may be another story. In a previous paper, impishly titled "Kissing Babies to Prove You Are Not a Psychopath"—which explored the motivations behind our collective need to witness our leaders displaying empathy—Murphy foreshadowed his findings here, writing that in a system designed to reward the power-hungry, voters are given the unenviable but important responsibility of weeding out the phonies

 Murphy's findings might ring true to anyone in D.C. who's found themselves on the wrong end of a ruthless bureaucratic knife-fighter, or just anyone who's been cut off one too many times by a BMW in downtown Bethesda

On a national level, it raises the troubling question as to what it means to live in a country whose institutions are set up to reward some very dubious human traits

Like it or not, we're more likely than not to wind up with some alarming personalities in positions of power

 That may or may not always be a bad thing, according to some psychologists. "I always joke that I wish I were more fearlessly dominant," said Miller, referring to one trait that psychopaths have in spades

"These people are resilient to depression and anxiety, well-liked, and there's little to link [that trait] to anti-social behavior

"  But that doesn't relieve of us the responsibility to consider the darker side and somehow allow for it

"The way we design our political institutions," Murphy wrote in an email, "should reflect the fact that psychopaths are more likely to be effective politicians

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