Chủ Nhật, 30 tháng 12, 2018

News on Youtube Dec 31 2018

Simple Beautifull Kudos Park Home From Tingdene

For more infomation >> Simple Beautifull Kudos Park Home From Tingdene - Duration: 3:22.

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Super Simple Clamp Rack - Duration: 5:14.

For more infomation >> Super Simple Clamp Rack - Duration: 5:14.

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new year muggulu 2019 with dots | simple rangoli designs | kolam designs for new year | TNBN TV Live - Duration: 10:59.

Easy Rangoli

For more infomation >> new year muggulu 2019 with dots | simple rangoli designs | kolam designs for new year | TNBN TV Live - Duration: 10:59.

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Simple rangoli designs for new year | special muggulu designs for happy new year,new year kolam 2019 - Duration: 10:47.

rangoli designs

For more infomation >> Simple rangoli designs for new year | special muggulu designs for happy new year,new year kolam 2019 - Duration: 10:47.

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Rok Sako Tou Rok Lo Tabdeeli Aayi Re BY;SIMPLE FOR EVERYONE - Duration: 0:18.

For more infomation >> Rok Sako Tou Rok Lo Tabdeeli Aayi Re BY;SIMPLE FOR EVERYONE - Duration: 0:18.

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Simple Beautifull 2018 Skyline Shore Park 1981CTE Park Model from Driftwood RV Center - Duration: 4:31.

Simple Beautifull 2018 Skyline Shore Park 1981CTE Park Model from Driftwood RV Center

For more infomation >> Simple Beautifull 2018 Skyline Shore Park 1981CTE Park Model from Driftwood RV Center - Duration: 4:31.

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The Simple Power of Showing up - Duration: 3:43.

The truth is, the process of success and achieving your wildest dreams is not rocket science.

Often it simply requires you show up day after day.

When you give your attention to a singular focus day in, day out for a set period of

time, no matter how small, it's inevitable that you'll get closer to where you want

to be.

Opportunities will begin to present themselves.

"When you show up and keep putting your work out there, good things start to happen.

You make new connections, people reach out to you, opportunities start to present themselves."

Here is the simple power of showing up.

The world is facing an epidemic right now; that is everyone wants to be successful, yet

no one is willing to put in the work to be successful.

We have been dumbed down and turned into dopamine and instant gratification seeking drones at

our own will.

We welcomed instant messaging, Facebook likes, and Netflix at the expense of our dreams and

desires.

For many, their environment has become so trigger-laden that it seems easier to simply

talk about the work, rather than to actually do the work.

"Most people will continue getting high on the dopamine of solely "dreaming" and

journaling about their ideal life, without ever doing any meaningful work to make those

goals happen."

It's time that people start realizing you can't be the noun without doing the verb.

You can't be a writer, if you don't write.

You can't be a cook, if you never cook.

You can't be an athlete, if you never train.

In what areas of your life do you call yourself the noun without doing the verb?

It's time to get consistent.

Becoming consistent at anything you want is not as elusive as it seems.

You'll find that for decades, people have simply been trying to form habits in the wrong

way.

They treat becoming the best version of yourself like something that can happen overnight.

They vow never to return to their old ways again.

They do everything they can to become the person they want to be.

But it's too much, too soon, and after a few days, they're back at their old behaviors.

The alternative is to start small.

Focus on consistency and frequency, rather than intensity and allow the habit to slowly

become a natural part of your being.

"Build the identity of the person you want to become."

This is precisely how I developed my morning journaling habit.

I didn't force myself to write an entry straight away.

Rather, I would get up every morning, write the date in my journal, and then close it

again.

Once that was a natural part of my morning routine, I began to journal for 15 minutes

before getting into my reading and writing and haven't stopped since.

Start small, learn the routine, and develop a process you can stick to.

I imagine that if you showed up today, tomorrow, the day after that, and so on, your life would

be very different in a year.

You'll be making more progress.

You'd have more confidence.

You'll have more joy and satisfaction for life.

You'll be the noun and be doing the verb.

It starts now.

How can you make the verb a natural and seamless part of your daily routine?

For more infomation >> The Simple Power of Showing up - Duration: 3:43.

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4 SIMPLE Steps To Channeling (Speak To Your Spirit Guides TODAY!) - Duration: 5:56.

Hey everybody, I hope you're doing well today my name is Jakob and in this video

I'm gonna go over four steps to channeling. Maybe you want a clear

connection with your spirit guides. Or you already kind of have one but you

want to improve it, or get more specific messages or anything like that. Maybe you

just want more synchronicities. This video is gonna help you with all of that.

Anyway that's all I have to say. let's get into the video. So for number one release

any expectation you have this will put a major block or stop if you're kind of

expecting what you want to receive just be open. Ways you can do this is just get

into a meditative state, or do something that puts you in the flow and let the

universe know. Put out that signal to your spirit guides or whatever, that

you're ready to receive messages and then pay attention to whatever comes

into your reality. This can be thoughts maybe even like a sensation in your body

if you pay attention to it then maybe that will lead to a thought

or maybe you'll get a urge to go somewhere and you'll see a synchronicity

or maybe a spirit animal. It can be anything like that

get present in the moment let the universe know you're ready to receive

and then be open to receiving without any expectations. I also would want to

point out before I get on to point number two is that you have likely

received guidance or messages before. These sorts of things become easier to

recognize as you practice and as time goes on and for any of you who are into

this spirituality or anything like that it's inevitable that you're gonna grow

these connections and you're gonna be receptive to very specific and detailed

messages from your spirit guides in the universe so this isn't something you

have to force really hard to happen it's gonna happen anyway but what I'm about

to tell you will likely help you get these messages clearly and faster so

point number two kana ties to point number one be aware in the present

moment and this will a lot of the messages that were already there ready

for you to perceive them will you'll become aware of them because there's

messages all around us that can be that can be seen and felt and heard but we're

we can't see them because we're not looking they're really looking in the

future or what happened yesterday or something but if you come here in this

present moment you're gonna see so many synchronicities and so many helpful

messages that those things that kind of anticipating for the future or

something that bothered you in the past you will either resolve them instantly

from these messages or whatever you were concerned about or anticipating will be

a very small point of your awareness I guess you could say you won't be focused

on it you'll be well you'll be in the present moment and aware of everything

that's going on here so for point number three once you're aware once you're

present once you're already kind of receiving these messages get yourself

into a very high vibrational state higher frequencies will attract more

empowering and more helpful information and since you're already kind of in the

same realm as your spirit guides already receiving messages from them you can

give the messages as well and what you can do here is ask them to lift your

vibration higher and if you're planning to receive messages during a meditation

this will be extremely effective and you will kind of feel their energy around

you inside your aura and you will be lifted higher and more aware of some of

the knowledge that was that you didn't know something that will happen if

you're meditating or not necessarily meditating you can be out and about

doing stuff but what happens a lot with me anyway is I get lots of colors in my

vision especially if my eyes are closed and I'm kind of looking inside my head

up my brain so just let these impressions happen let them in they will

guide you so for point number four it's basically putting these messages to use

so once you're there aware kind of receiving and you're in that higher

plane next what you want to do is put them to you so this can be writing them

down let's say you've got into a high vibrational state where you're ready to

channel you can write them down it's not only information that comes in words

let's say you're kind of channeling in this flow state and you're out doing

your thing you'll begin to get these urges to just go places and you'll bump

into things that will seem unexpected fortunate events and this is channeling

as well let's say you're out driving this will be a better example and you

get an urge to kind of change the lanes you don't know why but you're in the

flow Channel e state so you do it anyway and then you realize maybe like half a

kilometer ahead or something that there was maybe a big pile of garbage on

the road or something and if you were stayed in the right lane then you would

have crashed into it or slammed on your brakes and somewhat a rear-ended you or

something unfortunate would have happened so if you're kind of channeling

in that high vibrational state you're gonna move over and you're gonna avoid

any negative situations or on the flip side let's say there was a really slow

driver that you would have got stuck behind if you didn't switch lanes or

something like that so just keep in mind all you have to do is be aware pay

attention to any impressions your thoughts anything kind of floating

around and your external external reality like numbers or signposts that

may have a message for you and then ask your spirit guides for help and then for

number four just put it to you follow any urges you get write down some

messages if you're like into art make some art and it may end up coming out

better than what you normally draw or paint or something like that because you

won't feel as restricted when you're in the flow getting impressions and

messages from your guys anyway that's all I had to say for this video I hope

you guys enjoyed it I will see you in the next video if you

could leave any comments or video ideas or something that you would like to hear

me talk about and just feel free to leave it in the comments thank you for

all the likes and subscriptions I really appreciate it it's very encouraging

anyway that solid to save for this video thank you for watching

For more infomation >> 4 SIMPLE Steps To Channeling (Speak To Your Spirit Guides TODAY!) - Duration: 5:56.

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Sunday Morning 12/30 - A Simple Resolution - Duration: 1:10:59.

For more infomation >> Sunday Morning 12/30 - A Simple Resolution - Duration: 1:10:59.

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Simple Beautifull Cimarron1840A Park Model from Champion Home Park Model from Champion Home - Duration: 3:11.

Simple Beautifull Cimarron1840A Park Model from Champion Home

For more infomation >> Simple Beautifull Cimarron1840A Park Model from Champion Home Park Model from Champion Home - Duration: 3:11.

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Simple Regression Analysis by Scatter Plot in Excel - Duration: 7:50.

Today I'll explain the basics of Regression Analysis using the Scatter Plot in Excel.

[Intro Video]

Hi, this is Mike Negami, Lean Sigma Black Belt.

Our topic today is from this request.

"Please explain Multiple Regression Analysis and correlation that can be used in business

forecasting and customer satisfaction research analysis etc."

Thank you, Katsu RD for your request.

In order to answer his question, I have to explain the basics of Regression Analysis

first, so I divided this topic into three videos.

This video is about doing a Simple Regression Analysis with a Scatter Plot, and the second

one will be about doing a Simple Regression Analysis with the Excel Data Analysis Tools.

Then the last one will be about the Multiple Regression Analysis.

These days, with the development of IT, most companies can gather a lot of data.

That data is the result of your business activities.

Regression analyses give us good hints about the causes of the business activities and

factors that affect those results.

The real purpose of analyses is to use them for your future activities.

It's true for any data analysis, that you cannot stop with just making them.

Regression Analysis already sounds complicated.

I thought that it's easier to understand Simple Regression Analysis by learning from

an actual experience that I had.

I regularly post articles on my blog, econoshift.com.

First, I write a blog post and then make a video about the same topic.

I wanted to predict video duration from the number of words on the blog post.

I gathered ten sets of sample data of the number of words in past blog posts and their

video durations.

The video duration I wanted to predict is Y, which is called the 'Objective Variable'

and the number of blog words is X that should be written as a factor and this is called

an 'Explanatory Variable'.

From a Simple Regression Analysis, we can express the Objective Variable by the equation:

Y = a X + b.

This expression is called a 'Regression Equation'.

For my data, from the result of the Simple Regression Analysis, it became Y = 0.47 X

+ 35.5.

The 0.47 portion is called a 'Coefficient' and represents the slope of the line of the

Regression Equation.

For my equation, if X increases by 1, Y increases by 0.47.

Also, the +35.5 portion is called an 'Intercept' and represents the value of Y when X is 0.

From my equation, if the blog has 600 words: X is 600, 0.47 times 600 plus 35.5 equals

5 minutes 18 seconds.

I can predict video durations quite accurately with this and it's very helpful.

In this example, since there is only one Explanatory Variable, it's a Simple Regression Analysis.

When there are two or more Explanatory Variables, we'll use Multiple Regression Analysis.

The Multiple Regression Equation looks something like this:

Because I want my video to be about 5 minutes, I always check the video duration with this

formula before I film my video and utilize the result to decide whether to add more content

or sometimes divide the content into two videos.

In fact, I divided today's topic into three videos because of this equation's result.

Let's do the Simple Regression Analysis with Excel.

Before doing a Simple Regression Analysis, it's good to make a Scatter Plot first and

visualize the data.

Simply select the source data and select 'Insert' and then in the 'Charts' section, select

'Scatter'.

It seems that the data have a positive correlation.

However, the Objective Variable, which is the video duration, should be on the vertical

axis, but here they are reversed.

Click on the 'Design' tab, the 'Select Data', then 'Edit' and switch around

the data groups.

Next, in the same 'Design' tab, select 'Add Chart Element', 'Trendline' and

'More Trendline Options ...'. On the right screen, select 'Linear'.

Try to select other models.

As you change the selection, the line on the chart also change.

If other models are better fit than Linear, it's better to use that.

I'll use 'Linear' this time.

Then, check 'Display Equation on chart' and 'Display R-squared value on chart'.

Now a Regression Equation has come out.

What is this R-Squared value?

This is also called the 'Coefficient of Determination'.

There is another similar concept, which is called 'Correlation Coefficient'.

Lastly, I'll summarize these confusing terms clearly.

The Correlation Coefficient is a numeric value between -1 and +1, and the closer it is to

-1, the stronger the negative correlation, the closer it is to + 1, the stronger the

positive correlation.

The R-Squared value and Coefficient of Determination are the same thing and it's the squared

value of the Correlation Coefficient.

So, it'll be a value between 0 and 1.

It represents that the closer it is to 1, the more accurately the Regression Equation

can calculate the Objective Variable.

Thank you very much for viewing.

Please click the 'Subscribe' button.

Also click and watch my other related videos.

Thanks.

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