Thứ Năm, 25 tháng 10, 2018

News on Youtube Oct 25 2018

According to a new poll from NBC News, Republican voters are well out-pacing their Democrat

counterparts in early voting in several key states.

The GOP has taken a lead in early voting in key states such as Arizona, North Dakota,

Florida, Indiana, Tennessee, and Texas.

All six of those states will be key to which political party controls the Senate.

As of now, Republicans hold the slimmest majority of just 51 seats.

According to the Real Clear Politics poll of polls, Republicans currently enjoy comfortable

leads in three of those states: Tennessee (+6.5), North Dakota (+10.6), and Texas (+7.0).

But only North Dakota would be a Republican pickup from an incumbent Democrat.

In the remaining three states — Indiana, Florida, and Montana — the incumbent Democrats

all enjoy two to three point leads.

But as we saw during the 2016 presidential election, the polls might be missing something

— like an unexpected surge of Republican enthusiasm, which would be picked up in early

voting statistics such as these.

Remember, polls are weighted based on the pollsters guess of what the electorate will

look like.

"The latest data suggests robust enthusiasm among early Republican voters that could put

a dent in Democratic hopes for a 'blue wave' in next month's midterm elections," the

far-left NBC wrote after analyzing this data from TargetSmart.

Only in Nevada, where Republican Sen. Dean Heller is struggling to hold his seat, are

Democrat early voters outpacing Republicans.

As of now, Heller is up just 1.7 percent in the Real Clear Politics poll of polls.

Republicans are also outpacing Democrats in Georgia, where there is a tough gubernatorial

battle taking place.

Here are the early voter numbers thus far:

Florida: 44 percent R, 38 percent D, 18 percent unaffiliated.

Indiana: 51 percent R, 39 percent D, 10 percent unaffiliated.

Montana: 46 percent R, 29 percent D, 25 percent unaffiliated.

Tennessee: 63 percent R, 30 percent D, 7 percent unaffiliated.

Georgia: 52 percent R, 43 percent D, 5 percent unaffiliated.

Nevada: 45 percent D, 38 percent R, 18 percent unaffiliated.

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